Saturday, November 14, 2009

Week 10 Picks

Fresh off my fairly mediocre first week of picking, I'm confident this week will be better for me, despite some pretty tough games on the schedule. I've already gotten one in the books, so hopefully 14 more follow.

New Orleans at St. Louis: Could we see the first game in NFL history where one offense plays for both teams? That's the only way that the Rams could possibly win this game. That offense is sooo, so bad. If only Steven Jackson could clone himself.

Saints, 38-10

Tampa Bay at Miami: Coming off their first win of the season, the Bucs take on the Dolphins and that Wildcat offense. Tampa has the No. 30 rushing defense in the league and Miami's strength is running the ball. What could we see? Is 300 yards too much to ask? We'll see.

Dolphins, 27-13

Detroit at Minnesota: Let me just say that this is my survivor pick this week. I just don't see any way the Vikings lose. They're fresh off the bye. They have AP. They have some old dude at QB. They're tough at home. Detroit is better, but it still sucks. Writing's on the wall.

Vikings, 31-10

Jacksonville at NY Jets: I've seen some people make this their "upset special" in favor of the Jaguars and I can understand why. Ever since that quick start, the Jets have been underwhelming, losing four of their last five games. Coming off the bye, though, they should have righted the ship and have a good game against a tougher-than-their-record Jags team.

Jets, 16-14

Buffalo at Tennessee: The Vince Young Revival Tour returns home to face a Buffalo team that plays hard on defense, but can't figure things out on offense. I don't think the first two games with non-schitz VY were a fluke. I think it continues and the Titans take another step toward erasing that dreadful start.

Titans, 24-17

Cincinnati at Pittsburgh: One of the first big, big games of the week. I wish it was the Monday night game. Anything but seeing the Browns. As it stands, this game will go a very long way toward determining who wins the AFC North, especially if the Bengals win. The Steelers have just been laying in the weeds, beating team after team and seem to be firing on all cylinders. Cincinnati still has people wondering if they're for real, even after all the people they've beaten. Unfortunately for them, I think they'll still have to answer those questions after this game.

Steelers, 24-20

Denver at Washington: In my survivor picking, I've adhered to one policy: stay as far away from the Redskins as possible. They're impossible to select with confidence. The Broncos, on the other hand, are just...well, they're not as good as their record and until they realize that they have one of the most explosive players in the league on their roster, then they'll remain that way. The will, however, get a win.

Broncos, 28-14

Atlanta at Carolina: Whether or not DeAngelo Williams plays will factor greatly into this one. Atlanta is better than its record and if Williams doesn't play, it might be tough for them to control the clock, which is necessary when you have Jake Delhomme as your quarterback. If he does, it still might be a long day.

Falcons, 31-21

Kansas City at Oakland: All of one team's strengths are the other one's weaknesses. Who knows what happens. I'm a reformed Raiders fan, so I may have some pent up aggression towards Al Davis in this pick. They're both in turmoil, they both have holes everywhere. I don't know who to pick, honestly, but since the Raiders are home, I'll go with them.

Raiders, 17-10

Seattle at Arizona: The Cardinals are terrible at home. The Seahawks are terrible on the road. Who knows what will happen in this one. Last week's win against the Bears should propel Arizona to the win.

Cardinals, 23-20

Dallas at Green Bay: The Packers' loss last week to the Bucs was the nail in their coffin. They'll win more games, but emotionally, that game was tough to take. It won't get any better for them this week against a Cowboys team that realizes just how good it is. Dallas' pass rush will make it a long day for Rodgers, getting to him early and often.

Cowboys, 31-24

Philadelphia at San Diego: This could be a great one, with two offenses that can score from anywhere on the field. The Eagles always lose some tough ones and people count them out and then they win and win and win some more. This could be the beginning of their late-season run they always seem to make.

Eagles, 35-27

New England at Indianapolis: The other HUGE game of the week. I could probably write a full blog about this one on its own, but I'll keep it short and sweet. The Colts have plenty of issues, more than the Patriots, actually. But they also have Peyton Manning, who has made a career of making up for Indy's deficiencies. Nothing seems to affect him, be it poor defense over the years or lack of proven receivers outside of Reggie Wayne this year. New England is hitting its stride, and Tom Brady seems to have forgotten about his bionic knee. It'll be as good as advertised, that's for sure, with it coming down to a late-game drive by Peyton to decide it one way or another.

Colts, 24-21

Baltimore at Cleveland: Ugh. I refuse to waste finger-typing calories on the Browns. Ray Lewis will destroy Brady Quinn and laugh about it. Ravens win.

Ravens, 30-12

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